Chelsea vs Brighton and Hove Albion: prediction & betting odds 27 September 2025

The Matchday 6 Premier League clash between Chelsea and Brighton will take place on September 27 at Stamford Bridge in London. Chelsea vs. Brighton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Chelsea

In the previous round, Enzo Maresca's side suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Manchester United, managing just one shot on target. As a result, Chelsea's six-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League (4 wins, 2 draws) came to an end. Additionally, the team has conceded at least two goals in consecutive league matches. The Londoners have eight points and sit sixth in the standings. Notably, the club has scored ten goals this Premier League season, second only to Liverpool (11).

  • The team has won 9 of their last 11 Premier League home matches.
  • The club has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 home league games.
  • The Londoners have kept clean sheets in 7 of their last 9 home league matches.

Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-3-3)

Robert Sanchez – Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella – Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer – Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro, Estevan.

Due to suspensions, goalkeeper Robert Sanchez and forward Mykhailo Mudryk are out. Defenders Benoit Badiashile and Levi Colwill, as well as midfielders Cole Palmer and Romeo Lavia, will miss the match due to injuries.

Brighton

Fabian Hurzeler's side shared the points with Tottenham in a 2-2 home draw in the last round. Brighton led 2-0 during the match but couldn't hold onto the lead. The team has only one win in the current Premier League season (2 draws, 2 losses). Furthermore, the club extended its streak of conceding goals in the league to eight matches. In the standings, Brighton is 14th with five points.

  • The team has not won in 5 of their last 7 away league matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
  • At least three goals have been scored in 8 of the club's last 10 away league games.
  • Brighton has scored in 7 of their last 8 away Premier League matches.

Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-3-3)

Bart Verbruggen – Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu – Kaoru Mitoma, Brian Gruda, Carlos Baleba – Yasin Ayari, Yanquba Minteh, Jorginho Rutter.

Defenders Solly March and Adam Webster, as well as forward Julio Enciso, are out due to injuries.

Referee

Simon Hooper (England)

Matches – 28 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 133;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 18%.

Chelsea vs. Brighton: Match Prediction

The Londoners have had two challenging Premier League matches in a row, but at home, Chelsea will have an excellent opportunity to bounce back with a maximum result. The team feels very confident on their own turf: in their last 11 home league matches, the Londoners have secured nine wins, including victories over Liverpool, Tottenham, and Manchester United. Furthermore, in 7 of their last 9 home Premier League matches, Chelsea has kept a clean sheet.

Brighton has only one win in the current Premier League season, and that was achieved in a home match. Away from home, the club lost to Everton and Bournemouth, failing to earn any points in away fixtures this season. Additionally, in both previous encounters with Chelsea at their ground in the Premier League, Brighton suffered defeats.

I expect the hosts to claim three points in this match, so my prediction: Chelsea to win

Betting tips 27 September 2025

Chelsea head into a meeting with a historically awkward opponent in less than ideal spirits. The team are winless in their last three matches across major competitions and have fresh injuries to contend with. Brighton, meanwhile, will take to the Stamford Bridge pitch without João Pedro for the first time — he is now with the hosts.

The Brazilian is likely to play for Chelsea, while the situation around another key figure remains uncertain. Cole Palmer continues to have groin issues after a standout outing against Bayern Munich (1:3). By Matchweek five against Manchester United he was not fully fit and was substituted as early as the 20th minute. Defender Wesley Fofana also went off on 64 minutes, and the hosts were already down to ten men from the 5th minute until the end of the first half due to a red card for goalkeeper Robert Sánchez. Parity in numbers was restored before the break, but that still did not help the team take even a point (1:2).

Brighton are getting used to playing without last season’s key attacker — João Pedro. In recent rounds the team have been scoring more. Their haul includes a win over Manchester City (2:1) and a draw with Tottenham Hotspur (2:2), which could have turned into a win but for an own goal by Jan Paul van Hecke on 82 minutes. All of that happened at the Amex Stadium. Away to Bournemouth, Brighton suffered a defeat (1:2).

Even without their former talisman, Brighton have already beaten Chelsea twice this year (2:1, 3:0). It will be difficult for the hosts to win, especially without Cole Palmer, so a handicap in favour of the visitors looks reasonable.

Betting prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion (+1)
Cf
Odds
13/20
Bet now

Chelsea vs Brighton and Hove Albion Odds

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Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Chelsea
20.09.25
Manchester United
Chelsea
L
13.09.25
Brentford
Chelsea
D
30.08.25
Chelsea
Fulham
W
22.08.25
West Ham United
Chelsea
W
17.08.25
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
D
More matches
Brighton and Hove Albion
20.09.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham Hotspur
D
13.09.25
Bournemouth
Brighton and Hove Albion
L
31.08.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
W
24.08.25
Everton
Brighton and Hove Albion
L
16.08.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Fulham
D
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H2H: Chelsea — Brighton and Hove Albion

Premier League 2024-2025
14.02.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
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FA Cup 2024-2025
08.02.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
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Premier League 2024-2025
28.09.24
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Premier League 2023-2024
15.05.24
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
03.12.23
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EFL Cup 2023-2024
27.09.23
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Premier League 2022-2023
15.04.23
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
29.10.22
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
Premier League 2021-2022
18.01.22
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
29.12.21
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Premier League 2020-2021
20.04.21
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
14.09.20
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
Premier League 2019-2020
01.01.20
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
28.09.19
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
Premier League 2018-2019
03.04.19
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
16.12.18
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
Premier League 2017-2018
20.01.18
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Chelsea
26.12.17
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Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
6 5 0 1 12:7 15
2
Crystal Palace
6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3
Tottenham Hotspur
6 3 2 1 11:4 11
4
Sunderland
6 3 2 1 7:4 11
5
Bournemouth
6 3 2 1 8:7 11
6
Manchester City
6 3 1 2 14:6 10
7
Arsenal
5 3 1 1 10:2 10
8
Chelsea
6 2 2 2 11:8 8
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10
Fulham
6 2 2 2 7:8 8
11
Leeds United
6 2 2 2 6:9 8
12
Everton
5 2 1 2 6:5 7
13
Brentford
6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14
Manchester United
6 2 1 3 7:11 7
15
Newcastle United
5 1 3 1 3:3 6
16
Aston Villa
6 1 3 2 4:6 6
17
Nottingham Forest
6 1 2 3 5:10 5
18
Burnley
6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19
West Ham United
5 1 0 4 5:13 3
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2
Sunderland
3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3
Bournemouth
3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4
Arsenal
3 2 1 0 9:1 7
5
Fulham
3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6
Brentford
3 2 1 0 6:3 7
7
Manchester City
3 2 0 1 8:3 6
8
Manchester United
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
9
Crystal Palace
3 1 2 0 3:2 5
10
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 2 0 5:4 5
11
Leeds United
3 1 2 0 3:2 5
12
Tottenham Hotspur
3 1 1 1 4:2 4
13
Chelsea
3 1 1 1 3:3 4
14
Everton
2 1 1 0 2:0 4
15
Aston Villa
3 1 1 1 3:4 4
16
Burnley
3 1 1 1 3:2 4
17
Newcastle United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
18
Nottingham Forest
3 1 0 2 3:5 3
19
West Ham United
3 0 0 3 2:10 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Crystal Palace
3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2
Tottenham Hotspur
3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3
Liverpool
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
4
Sunderland
3 1 1 1 1:2 4
5
Bournemouth
3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6
Manchester City
3 1 1 1 6:3 4
7
Chelsea
3 1 1 1 8:5 4
8
Arsenal
2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
10
Leeds United
3 1 0 2 3:7 3
11
Everton
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12
Newcastle United
3 0 3 0 0:0 3
13
West Ham United
2 1 0 1 3:3 3
14
Aston Villa
3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15
Nottingham Forest
3 0 2 1 2:5 2
16
Fulham
3 0 1 2 2:6 1
17
Manchester United
3 0 1 2 2:7 1
18
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 1 2 1:3 1
19
Brentford
3 0 0 3 3:8 0
20
Burnley
3 0 0 3 3:11 0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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